Calgary Flames
Flames Power Rankings – Week 6
Throughout the season we've been looking at the teams' rankings and how they've done through the season. We've used an R.P.I. formula and a strength of schedule adjusted wins formula. The last time Calgary had improved greatly from week two to week four. Can the improvement continue? Let's take a look.
R.P.I.
For the formula, see the week four post tagged above. Here is the R.P.I.
Rank | Team | TPts/G | OPts/G | OOPts/G | R.P.I. |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Nashville Predators | 1.371 | 1.004 | 1.031 | 1.102 |
2 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 1.467 | 0.957 | 1.022 | 1.101 |
3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.300 | 1.003 | 1.005 | 1.078 |
4 | Montreal Canadiens | 1.226 | 1.010 | 1.013 | 1.065 |
5 | Calgary Flames | 1.154 | 1.044 | 0.998 | 1.060 |
6 | St. Louis Blues | 1.236 | 0.973 | 1.016 | 1.049 |
7 | Ottawa Senators | 1.020 | 1.048 | 1.065 | 1.045 |
8 | New York Islanders | 1.209 | 0.982 | 0.997 | 1.042 |
9 | Winnipeg Jets | 1.028 | 1.065 | 0.999 | 1.039 |
10 | Vancouver Canucks | 1.216 | 0.963 | 1.014 | 1.039 |
11 | Detroit Red Wings | 1.118 | 1.010 | 1.003 | 1.035 |
12 | Anaheim Ducks | 1.160 | 0.978 | 0.998 | 1.028 |
13 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 0.967 | 1.035 | 1.069 | 1.027 |
14 | Minnesota Wild | 1.114 | 0.952 | 1.020 | 1.009 |
15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 0.947 | 1.036 | 1.020 | 1.009 |
16 | Los Angeles Kings | 1.079 | 0.969 | 0.995 | 1.003 |
17 | Boston Bruins | 1.092 | 0.947 | 1.007 | 0.999 |
18 | New York Rangers | 0.820 | 1.062 | 0.994 | 0.985 |
19 | Philadelphia Flyers | 0.908 | 1.008 | 1.000 | 0.981 |
20 | New Jersey Devils | 0.864 | 1.010 | 1.002 | 0.972 |
21 | Washington Capitals | 0.896 | 0.997 | 0.995 | 0.971 |
22 | San Jose Sharks | 1.026 | 0.921 | 1.001 | 0.967 |
23 | Arizona Coyotes | 0.828 | 1.019 | 1.000 | 0.966 |
24 | Florida Panthers | 0.918 | 0.966 | 1.005 | 0.964 |
25 | Colorado Avalanche | 0.717 | 1.069 | 0.992 | 0.962 |
26 | Dallas Stars | 0.687 | 1.073 | 0.980 | 0.954 |
27 | Edmonton Oilers | 0.718 | 1.043 | 1.002 | 0.951 |
28 | Carolina Hurricanes | 0.771 | 0.944 | 1.007 | 0.916 |
29 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 0.689 | 0.947 | 1.004 | 0.897 |
30 | Buffalo Sabres | 0.466 | 1.062 | 0.976 | 0.892 |
Everyone saw this coming a quarter of the way through the season. The Flames are first in the Pacific, second in the west and fifth overall going by R.P.I. It's very impressive, but is it impressive as the margin separating first and second place?
Strength of Schedule Adjusted Wins
Rank | Team | Pts/G | S.O.S. | AdjPts |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 1.467 | 0.979 | 1.436 |
2 | Nashville Predators | 1.371 | 1.013 | 1.388 |
3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 1.300 | 1.004 | 1.305 |
4 | Montreal Canadiens | 1.226 | 1.011 | 1.239 |
5 | St. Louis Blues | 1.236 | 0.987 | 1.220 |
6 | New York Islanders | 1.209 | 0.987 | 1.193 |
7 | Vancouver Canucks | 1.216 | 0.980 | 1.191 |
8 | Calgary Flames | 1.154 | 1.029 | 1.187 |
9 | Anaheim Ducks | 1.160 | 0.984 | 1.142 |
10 | Detroit Red Wings | 1.118 | 1.008 | 1.127 |
11 | Minnesota Wild | 1.114 | 0.975 | 1.086 |
12 | Ottawa Senators | 1.020 | 1.054 | 1.075 |
13 | Winnipeg Jets | 1.028 | 1.043 | 1.072 |
14 | Boston Bruins | 1.092 | 0.967 | 1.056 |
15 | Los Angeles Kings | 1.079 | 0.978 | 1.055 |
16 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 0.967 | 1.046 | 1.012 |
17 | Chicago Blackhawks | 0.947 | 1.030 | 0.975 |
18 | San Jose Sharks | 1.026 | 0.947 | 0.972 |
19 | Philadelphia Flyers | 0.908 | 1.005 | 0.912 |
20 | Florida Panthers | 0.918 | 0.979 | 0.898 |
21 | Washington Capitals | 0.896 | 0.996 | 0.892 |
22 | New Jersey Devils | 0.864 | 1.007 | 0.871 |
23 | New York Rangers | 0.820 | 1.039 | 0.852 |
24 | Arizona Coyotes | 0.828 | 1.012 | 0.839 |
25 | Colorado Avalanche | 0.717 | 1.043 | 0.748 |
26 | Carolina Hurricanes | 0.771 | 0.965 | 0.744 |
27 | Edmonton Oilers | 0.718 | 1.029 | 0.739 |
28 | Dallas Stars | 0.687 | 1.042 | 0.716 |
29 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 0.689 | 0.966 | 0.666 |
30 | Buffalo Sabres | 0.466 | 1.033 | 0.482 |
The Flames aren't quite as strong since their strength of schedule is stronger than their points. They're still second in the Pacific, fourth in the west and eighth overall, so not much to worry about there.
Movement
R.P.I.
Team | Week 2 | Week 4 | Week 6 | Movement | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Islanders | 18 | 21 | 8 | 13 | |
Montreal Canadiens | 7 | 15 | 4 | 11 | |
Boston Bruins | 23 | 23 | 17 | 6 | |
Nashville Predators | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | |
Los Angeles Kings | 19 | 20 | 16 | 4 | |
Washington Capitals | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | |
Calgary Flames | 17 | 8 | 5 | 3 | |
Florida Panthers | 24 | 27 | 24 | 3 | |
Winnipeg Jets | 27 | 12 | 9 | 3 | |
Arizona Coyotes | 25 | 24 | 23 | 1 | |
Carolina Hurricanes | 30 | 29 | 28 | 1 | |
New York Rangers | 20 | 19 | 18 | 1 | |
Tampa Bay Lightning | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
Buffalo Sabres | 29 | 30 | 30 | 0 | |
Vancouver Canucks | 22 | 10 | 10 | 0 | |
Columbus Blue Jackets | 14 | 28 | 29 | -1 | |
Edmonton Oilers | 28 | 26 | 27 | -1 | |
Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | |
St. Louis Blues | 13 | 5 | 6 | -1 | |
Chicago Blackhawks | 12 | 13 | 15 | -2 | |
Detroit Red Wings | 9 | 9 | 11 | -2 | |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 15 | 11 | 13 | -2 | |
Colorado Avalanche | 26 | 22 | 25 | -3 | |
Philadelphia Flyers | 16 | 16 | 19 | -3 | |
Ottawa Senators | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | |
San Jose Sharks | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | |
New Jersey Devils | 11 | 14 | 20 | -6 | |
Minnesota Wild | 21 | 7 | 14 | -7 | |
Dallas Stars | 2 | 18 | 26 | -8 | |
Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 2 | 12 | -10 |
The team only moved up three spots in the R.P.I. poll from last week, but from eighth they didn't have a whole lot of room to move. Good job capitalizing though!
Strength of Schedule Adjusted Points
Team | Week 2 | Week 4 | Week 6 | Movement | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
New York Islanders | 14 | 17 | 6 | 11 | |
Montreal Canadiens | 7 | 15 | 4 | 11 | |
Boston Bruins | 23 | 23 | 17 | 6 | |
Nashville Predators | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | |
Los Angeles Kings | 19 | 20 | 16 | 4 | |
Washington Capitals | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | |
Calgary Flames | 17 | 8 | 5 | 3 | |
Florida Panthers | 24 | 27 | 24 | 3 | |
Winnipeg Jets | 27 | 12 | 9 | 3 | |
Arizona Coyotes | 25 | 24 | 23 | 1 | |
Carolina Hurricanes | 30 | 29 | 28 | 1 | |
New York Rangers | 20 | 19 | 18 | 1 | |
Tampa Bay Lightning | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | |
Buffalo Sabres | 29 | 30 | 30 | 0 | |
Vancouver Canucks | 22 | 10 | 10 | 0 | |
Columbus Blue Jackets | 14 | 28 | 29 | -1 | |
Edmonton Oilers | 28 | 26 | 27 | -1 | |
Pittsburgh Penguins | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | |
St. Louis Blues | 13 | 5 | 6 | -1 | |
Chicago Blackhawks | 12 | 13 | 15 | -2 | |
Detroit Red Wings | 9 | 9 | 11 | -2 | |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 15 | 11 | 13 | -2 | |
Colorado Avalanche | 26 | 22 | 25 | -3 | |
Philadelphia Flyers | 16 | 16 | 19 | -3 | |
Ottawa Senators | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | |
San Jose Sharks | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | |
New Jersey Devils | 11 | 14 | 20 | -6 | |
Minnesota Wild | 21 | 7 | 14 | -7 | |
Dallas Stars | 2 | 18 | 26 | -8 | |
Anaheim Ducks | 6 | 2 | 12 | -10 |
Only one up, but that's still in the right direction.
Well, until next time!
by Les Mavus